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Guotai Junan Wang Zhengzhi: IPO issuance is expected to pick up next year. It is estimated that 150~210 IPOs will be issued throughout the year. Wang Zhengzhi, chief analyst of Guotai Junan IPO research, made the latest interpretation of IPO new share strategy next year at the 2025 strategy meeting. Wang Zhengzhi said that in 2024, many measures were taken to promote the high-quality development of IPO, and the issuance speed increased slightly after the third quarter. It is expected that the issuance speed of new shares will pick up in 2025. The data shows that as of the end of November, there were 89 new shares listed in 2024, which was at a low level since 2019, and the issuance speed increased slightly after the third quarter. In 2024Q4IPO accepted and released the warming signal. In 2025, the pace of stock issuance in Shanghai and Shenzhen stock markets is expected to pick up. It is estimated that there will be 15-210 issues in the whole year, and the total fundraising scale will be about 160 billion yuan. According to the neutral forecast, the 500-million-scale A-type account will increase its gross profit rate by about 3.32% in 2025, and the 200-million-scale B-type account will increase its gross profit rate by about 4.38% in 2025.The loose monetary signal ignited the bond market. The yield of 10-year government bonds hit 1.83% and hit a new low. Affected by the loose monetary signal, the yield of 10-year government bonds once again hit a record low. During the session on December 10th, the yield of the 10-year active bond "24 Treasury Bond 11 with Interest" (240011) fell by 7.5BP (basis point) and hit 1.8300%, hitting a record low. The yield of 30-year active bond "24 Special Bond 06" (2400006) also went down all the way, falling to 2.0450%, down 4BP from the previous day. Treasury futures rose strongly all day, and the 30-year main contract closed up 1.37%, setting a record high. The ETF market of government bonds was all red, and the 30-year ETF rose by 1.87%. Politburo meeting of the Chinese Communist Party, held on the 9th, sent a signal of steady growth, which formed a favorable support for the bond market. For the economic work in 2025, the meeting first mentioned "extraordinary countercyclical adjustment", and the tone of monetary policy changed from "steady" that lasted for 14 years to "moderately loose". The loose monetary signal pushes the bond market to strengthen. According to industry analysts, the debt bull will continue in the future, and the yield of 10-year government bonds can be seen as low as 1.6%. However, there are also views that if the economic fundamentals continue to run in 2024 next year, the bond market yield will rebound in the future and need to be treated with caution. (CBN)Bank for International Settlements: Swap spreads are reflecting investors' concerns about excessive bond supply. The Bank for International Settlements (BIS) pointed out that huge government loans are having an impact on the global interest rate market, saying that investors have demanded higher premiums for buying sovereign bonds. In its quarterly report released on Tuesday, the agency pointed out that the swap spreads of various currencies and maturities have narrowed rapidly in recent months, which are "signs of possible oversupply". As investors are worried about huge debt and deficit expansion, the yields of government bonds in the euro zone and Japan have recently exceeded comparable swap rates. This leads to the so-called swap spread becoming negative. Because national debt is usually regarded as a safer investment than interest rate swap, it is unusual for the swap spread to enter the negative range. According to the Bank for International Settlements, the negative swap spread seems to reflect the pressure faced by investors and intermediaries because they need to absorb more government bonds in the near future. In the United States, the swap spreads for some maturities have been negative for many years.

French President Macron told party leaders that he wanted to appoint a prime minister "within 48 hours".The Israeli navy destroyed several Syrian naval vessels, and the Israeli navy carried out a large-scale operation on the 9th, destroying several naval fleets of Syrian government forces. According to military sources, Israeli navy missile boats attacked the Gulf of Minato Beida and the port of Latakia on the Syrian coast, destroying several Syrian naval vessels equipped with sea-to-sea missiles. According to sources, the attack was to prevent Syrian naval forces and weapons from falling into the hands of hostile forces. In addition, since Assad left Syria, the Israeli air force has carried out about 300 air strikes against Syria.Changhua Group: We received the designated notice from the flying car company. Changhua Group announced that the company recently received the designated development notice from a well-known domestic flying car company, and the designated products are mainly fasteners and metal structural parts. The life cycle of the designated project is 5 years, and the estimated total sales amount in the life cycle is about RMB 91 million. It is expected that it will not have a significant impact on the company's performance this year. If the subsequent substantive sales orders are successfully converted, it will help increase the operating income and operating efficiency in the future.

The Syrian transitional government officially took over power. Who is the caretaker prime minister? According to pro-Syrian opposition media reports on the 10th, the Syrian transitional government with Mohamed Bashir as caretaker prime minister officially took over power on the same day. The resume published on the website of "Syrian National Salvation Government" shows that Bashir was born in the Zawiyah Mountain area of Idlib province in northwest Syria in 1983. In 2007, he graduated from the School of Electrical and Electronic Engineering, Aleppo University, Syria, majoring in communication, and taught after graduation. In 2011, he became the head of the precision instrument department of a laboratory of Syrian natural gas company. In March 2011, Bashir participated in anti-government demonstrations in Syria. In 2012, Bashir gave up his post in the Syrian government and formally joined the Syrian opposition, engaging in military, civil affairs, education and other fields in the opposition-controlled areas. After the opposition established the "Syrian Government for Salvation" in 2017, Bashir worked in the Ministry of Charity and Missionary and the Ministry of Development and Humanitarian Affairs. From 2022 to 2023, Bashir served as the Minister of Development and Humanitarian Affairs. In January 2024, Bashir became the Prime Minister of the Syrian National Salvation Government. According to public information, the "Syrian Government for Salvation" was established in 2017 with the support of the Syrian opposition armed "Liberation Syria" Alliance (also translated as "Sham Liberation Organization"), which is considered to be one of the main forces to defeat the Syrian government forces. (World Wide Web)After the strike, Boeing restarted the production of 737MAX last week. According to three people familiar with the matter, Boeing restarted the production of its best-selling 737 MAX jetliner last week. About a month ago, 33,000 factory workers ended a seven-week strike.SOMO, Iraq's national oil marketing organization: Iraq set the official selling price of Basra Intermediate crude oil to North America and South America in January 2024 at-1.5 USD per barrel (lower than ASCI price).